The problem is that that 90% failure is not accurate.
Over the years, there have been a number of studies about the profitability of various speculation activities. I've seen several articles referencing surveys that have shown trading may be a losing proposition, but nothing close to a 90% failure rate.
- 70% of day traders lose money.
- "6 in 10 mom and pop traders lose money
The 90% figure likely comes from a misinterpretation of the Thomas Hieronymus study. Thomas Hieronymus took a look at 462 speculative futures trading accounts in the 1960s. He observed that 92% of the traders who had traded fewer than 10 times over the year (i.e. the dabblers) lost money. Hieronymus then looked at the regular traders and found that 41% of the regular traders made money against 59% losers.
Do you call the guy who placed 1 trade got his ass handed and went on his way a trader? I wouldn't.
The 41 /59% split seems more realistic. The lesson being that studying trading and preparing the odds get a whole lot better. Now 41% might not be a walk in the park-- but it's not 10% and certain doom.
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