I've done my homework on PLUG. After doing so, I took a position on the hypothesis that company is early in its growth cycle. Tomorrow that hypothesis will be tested. Very rarely do I have complete confidence in a position and PLUG is no exception.
We've all seen stocks take off in light of an earnings report. 50% - 70% or even 100%. Of course, there there are many that go the other way. Plug has many positive signs:
- Strong Guidance forecast from 1st quarter (top end above consensus 16.7
- BLDP reported heavy sales from PLUG
- CEO's "breakout year" remarks.
Still, after more reflection, I find my way shying away from my Big Gain hypothesis. .
- Number of shares outstanding-- 161 shares (added 22.6 Million in April's secondary offering) That's a lot of weight to carry.
- Excessive Bullishness --
- 97% BULLISH
- 3% BEARISH Stock-twits unscientific measure. Could cause sell off even if earnings are great due to expectations.
- M.O.U. with Hyundai was supposed to be formalized into a J.V. by July 31.
I'm still bullish, the chart looks fantastic. I've managed my risk, I've gone through my trade plan. May I have the discipline to follow it as volatility gets crazy. Game on.
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